When will the Glock 17 have its first stoppage?
Rules:
- One entry per person. You cannot guess again once your number has been surpassed, or before your number is reached, or under any other circumstance. If you pick a number that has already been picked by someone else, you lose; you cannot guess again.
- Entries are submitted via comment to this post.
- Posting anything other than your guess disqualifies you permanently.
- The email address you use when posting the comment must be valid. If we cannot reach the winner, the next closest guess wins.
- We’ll use Price is Right rules. Whoever guesses closest without going over is the winner.
- For purposes of this contest, “stoppage” will apply to the first instance in which the G17 test gun fails to go completely through its normal cycle of operation, except for stoppages which are determined by pistol-training.com to be ammunition-induced. Essentially, anything that earns stoppage, malfunction, or breakage in the tally being kept each week.
- Guesses must be numerical, you cannot pick a date or “never.”
- No purchase necessary. Contest and offer void where prohibited by law.
Prizes:
- Pick the exact round count at which the stoppage occurs and you win a certificate good for one free pistol-training.com class. (this certificate is fully transferable so if you do not want it or cannot use it, you can at least sell it on the black market)
- If no one picks the exact round count, whoever comes closest without going over will win a pistol-training.com hat and a $50 gift certificate good towards any pistol-training.com class.
Train hard & stay safe! ToddG
56,000 hopeful
17329
475
2424
666
7,539
517
My Gen3 has gone probably a good 6-8k without any non-ammo-related issues and zero preventative maintenance. Without doing any research on expected wear tolerances of the parts, I’ll use my mental random number generator for a SWAG of….
12,121
17,557
1100
112
2688
7598
7,984
9,299
18256
1115
269
With 113 guesses so far:
6 people guessed it won’t make it 10 rounds.
20 people guessed it won’t make it to 100 rounds.
47 people guessed it won’t make it to 1,000 rounds.
31 people guessed it will exceed 10,000 rounds.
17 people guessed it will exceed 25,000 rounds.
5 people guessed it will exceed 50,000 rounds.
3252
1271
17.900
22,350
4,340
267
369
462
6,050
2750
18956
9,823
16383
30
560
66666
31,415
12,803 – Sounds like a good number. I guess saying less than the HK’45’ wouldn’t be a completely numeric answer…
18,192
27,047
2,981
8,254
175
950
3154
30,000
65
23,995
532
8,765
3